0xd7788e09d7a83d68af9f50b37169eab51df8db79
- Realised P&L
- $-0.44
- Volume
- $16.58
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $5.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 1.000 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.605 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.700 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.460 | 0.395 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.635 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.200 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 06:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 22:30 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 13:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:16 | Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 11:14 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 02:47 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |