0xd77009c398e6961319e589fe826766156af39bde
- Realised P&L
- $-26.92
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $115.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.524 | 0.515 | $108.66 | −$1.93 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on August 5? · No | 0.480 | 0.225 | $4.50 | −$5.10 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? · No | 0.710 | 0.715 | $2.09 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.67at 0.770France vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$21.88at 0.490Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
- +$17.70at 0.530England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$17.50at 0.150WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 4?
- +$17.50at 0.240Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 08-04 19:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.3333333333 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:17 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5199999985 | $57.00 |
| 08-04 07:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.67 | $16.48 |
| 08-04 05:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.6099999915 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 04:59 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 13:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 08-03 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 08:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.02 |
| 08-01 18:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.66 | $27.50 |
| 08-01 16:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 16:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $10.73 |
| 07-31 14:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.24 |
| 07-31 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |