matida
0xd746eb9c7e04dc20469933acf95b317126dd2c6f
- Realised P&L
- $-0.05
- Volume
- $49.3k
- Markets traded
- 553
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded553
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$15.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.05at 0.508Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?
- +$41.38at 0.353Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?
- +$36.25at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?
- +$35.26at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?
- +$33.34at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.98 | $11.12 |
| 08-08 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1722487698 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0555555556 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4368989498 | $8.00 |
| 08-07 23:51 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4344247788 | $14.73 |
| 08-07 23:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3284090835 | $17.00 |
| 08-07 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.9 | $26.10 |
| 08-07 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.0629761905 | $3.17 |
| 08-07 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1984126984 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.2061923077 | $5.36 |
| 08-06 23:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 08-06 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.25 | $13.00 |
| 08-06 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.97 | $6.83 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.1620968097 | $7.37 |
| 08-06 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.156420242 | $7.11 |