PseudoD
0xd702f50117d291f9932c8d2bf4f8a9c466d19694
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $262.6k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $17.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.535 | 0.445 | $17.80 | −$3.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.270Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$520.18at 0.330Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$248.35at 0.302Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$219.21at 0.300US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$183.07at 0.303Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.2738048909 | $10.41 |
| 08-05 15:02 | Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? | SELL | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 08-05 09:24 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.51 |
| 08-04 17:27 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 12:59 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 08-04 09:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 08-04 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.3798287043 | $31.04 |
| 08-04 07:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.60 |
| 07-03 12:39 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.06 | $58.68 |
| 05-22 10:10 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.75 | $320.59 |
| 05-22 10:09 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $179.41 |
| 05-22 01:56 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $898.42 |
| 05-15 03:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.06 |
| 05-07 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.134 | $1.34 |