0xd6fa11f239e5bff8e9fc6851cc7d4e539c02adaf
- Realised P&L
- $-503.81
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $111.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.95at 0.311Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
- +$3.23at 0.039Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
- +$2.81at 0.326Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 27, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.470Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs Ficovich
- +$0.84at 0.480Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 23:31 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $21.46 |
| 03-25 23:30 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.04 |
| 03-25 23:30 | Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.16 |
| 03-25 23:30 | Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.60 |
| 03-25 23:30 | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $10.73 |
| 03-25 23:30 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will Kirk Cousins play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by March 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.31 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.40 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.12 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.67 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Weed rescheduled by June 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.63 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.20 |
| 03-25 23:27 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | SELL | 0.922 | $8.36 |