20261801
0xd681e0246e0723fe397d2a11791336846103d9df
- Realised P&L
- $-228.28
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,132
- Open portfolio
- $91.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,132
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.51at 0.709Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
- +$85.24at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$72.36at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$71.80at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$69.69at 0.336Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.8823459798 | $25.35 |
| 08-09 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.87 | $25.00 |
| 08-09 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.7617205781 | $22.14 |
| 08-08 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.23 |
| 08-08 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.87 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.82 | $15.69 |
| 08-08 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.99 |
| 08-08 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8558086717 | $24.87 |
| 08-08 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $0.58 |
| 08-08 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.86 | $16.47 |
| 08-08 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.84 | $24.41 |
| 08-08 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.855 | $8.55 |
| 08-07 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.99 | $28.77 |
| 08-07 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.72 | $20.92 |
| 08-07 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.827267722 | $24.04 |