lSO709
0xd5ca34876af4b65b1bfb0c298b3af85d228208f3
- Realised P&L
- $-888.67
- Volume
- $1.50M
- Markets traded
- 1,001
- Open portfolio
- $462.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,001
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No | 0.987 | 0.985 | $139.71 | −$0.30 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $112.07 | +$0.06 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $112.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $28.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $28.02 | +$0.01 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.981 | 0.981 | $27.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $10.02 | +$0.00 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $4.40 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.93at 0.949Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$14.84at 0.984Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
- +$14.31at 0.991Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
- +$12.14at 0.976Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$11.78at 0.998Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 17:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.94 |
| 05-25 17:47 | Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | SELL | 0.52 | $0.52 |
| 05-25 17:47 | Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | SELL | 0.47 | $0.47 |
| 05-25 17:47 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.95 |
| 05-25 17:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 17:44 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 13:28 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $112.00 |
| 05-20 13:28 | Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.03 |
| 05-20 13:28 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $28.01 |
| 05-20 13:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.992 | $83.93 |
| 05-20 13:27 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.03 |
| 05-15 20:50 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $55.86 |
| 05-15 20:49 | Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $111.87 |
| 05-15 20:49 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $27.98 |
| 05-15 20:49 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $55.97 |