Bubbleman
0xd55259a30d42d907613cbfed7aaccd1a3a5c5ebe
- Realised P&L
- $-11.9k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 1,248
- Open portfolio
- $347.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,248
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.040Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?
- +$2.0kat 0.114Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?
- +$1.5kat 0.087Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 14?
- +$1.4kat 0.092Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 2?
- +$1.0kat 0.197Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0600147183 | $89.32 |
| 08-05 09:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.0336008468 | $70.40 |
| 08-05 08:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.1199999989 | $88.93 |
| 08-05 08:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? | BUY | 0.1396369428 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 17:22 | National Bank Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova | BUY | 0.5 | $196.13 |
| 08-04 16:04 | National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | BUY | 0.3429446462 | $70.00 |
| 08-04 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.9 | $275.81 |
| 08-04 13:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0769999976 | $28.14 |
| 08-04 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0101785487 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 10:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0269864969 | $91.72 |
| 08-04 10:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0042494924 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0959999982 | $47.15 |
| 08-04 10:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0889999986 | $54.68 |
| 08-04 10:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.083 | $0.83 |
| 08-04 08:40 | ITF Fano: Federico Arnaboldi vs Niccolo Ciavarella | BUY | 0.1899999968 | $47.00 |