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michaelB

0xd53b2cd1f1b681de5160f43d02a6df508906fc94

Realised P&L
$-4.5k
Volume
$272.6k
Markets traded
1,098
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,098
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 02:02Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?SELL0.19$38.00
08-08 00:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.98$294.00
07-28 16:33Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.25$18.55
07-27 22:30Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?SELL0.44999725$18.00
07-25 22:26Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?SELL0.999$99.90
07-25 22:26Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 25?SELL0.99$11.88
07-25 20:21Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?SELL0.35$3.50
07-25 13:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?SELL0.999$104.50
07-25 02:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?BUY0.8604098869$90.00
07-23 21:31Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 23?BUY0.6430458221$7.16
07-23 17:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.5099999988$25.00
07-23 17:11Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?SELL0.1469476391$20.57
07-22 22:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?SELL0.968$47.04
07-21 18:08Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.0843538278$35.26
07-21 12:53SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 21?BUY0.21$52.50