0x2707ed8a382101234889970310e4f8830bff866d
0xd4c8eeaf4280d01d5e6f8cfbfdd2cb1fd9083730
- Realised P&L
- $157.32
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $72.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.25at 0.318Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$67.00at 0.330Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$48.38at 0.292Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$45.56at 0.180Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$34.20at 0.145Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4928589799 | $11.50 |
| 08-04 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 08-04 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.61 |
| 08-03 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.04 |
| 08-03 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.958024424 | $207.89 |
| 08-02 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5817711613 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-01 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.8183539095 | $39.77 |
| 08-01 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.8 | $12.95 |
| 08-01 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.796013905 | $20.61 |
| 08-01 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.846836403 | $46.90 |
| 08-01 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.80 |