0xd496dEB60063e51e45fe6adDa381b77093Ab00Ec-1775456355341
0xd496deb60063e51e45fe6adda381b77093ab00ec
- Realised P&L
- $-866.90
- Volume
- $47.2k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $39.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.41at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
- +$74.63at 0.129Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
- +$56.22at 0.082Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
- +$54.03at 0.265Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?
- +$42.20at 0.128US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0910869565 | $4.19 |
| 08-08 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.35 |
| 08-08 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.057 | $8.55 |
| 08-08 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 40°C or higher on August 9? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.05 |
| 08-08 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0577970711 | $2.76 |
| 08-08 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.19 |
| 08-08 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0575986101 | $8.95 |
| 07-11 02:16 | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.3 | $4.39 |
| 07-11 02:06 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.31 | $4.40 |
| 07-11 01:55 | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.28 | $3.86 |
| 07-10 23:25 | Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.4 | $5.22 |
| 07-10 22:55 | Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.38 | $4.96 |
| 07-10 20:45 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.34 | $4.97 |
| 07-10 02:03 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.35 | $5.12 |
| 07-10 01:02 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.26 | $3.49 |