nickos88
0xd4912e42211ad2400edfe112c07e2654ffe8d031
- Realised P&L
- $-14.33
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $54.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.775 | $23.25 | +$4.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.235 | $9.40 | +$1.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.220 | $8.80 | −$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.210 | $8.40 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.120 | $4.80 | −$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? · No | 0.560 | 0.002 | $0.06 | −$16.74 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$16.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? · No | 0.390 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$15.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.41at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8?
- +$11.14at 0.713Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8?
- +$9.57at 0.680Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7?
- +$7.77at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7?
- +$6.69at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 08-08 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.89 |
| 08-08 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 08-08 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 08-08 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.992 | $26.41 |
| 08-08 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $7.28 |
| 08-08 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.02 |
| 08-08 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-08 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.96 |
| 08-08 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-08 01:47 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | SELL | 0.999 | $5.32 |
| 08-08 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7045429741 | $20.66 |
| 08-08 00:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3755656958 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.69 |
| 08-08 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.05 |