0xd43BB100ba3D1dC66d65452E73C74a9156604eF5-1762291835327
0xd43bb100ba3d1dc66d65452e73c74a9156604ef5
- Realised P&L
- $-12.71
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $11.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.75at 0.285Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?
- +$6.88at 0.140Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?
- +$2.88at 0.280Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.32at 0.601Will Meta (META) close above $640 on February 23?
- +$1.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 21:51 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999937 | $18.00 |
| 03-01 19:54 | Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 03-01 19:43 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 03-01 19:35 | Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? | SELL | 0.7760256868 | $21.75 |
| 02-28 13:04 | Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 02-26 14:50 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.2279998714 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 12:27 | Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 12:27 | Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 21:01 | Will Meta (META) close above $640 on February 24? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 20:58 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0886067961 | $2.92 |
| 02-24 20:55 | Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.16 |
| 02-24 20:21 | Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 19:49 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.944 | $1.89 |