jinek
0xd3deae97275c97db96ae9187fd0a1b565545f75c
- Realised P&L
- $-17.01
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $226.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? · No | 0.930 | 0.940 | $202.15 | +$2.15 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? · Yes | 0.682 | 0.625 | $24.73 | −$2.27 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.58at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$24.65at 0.709Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$14.04at 0.780Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$8.50at 0.690Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$1.27at 0.942Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:59 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | BUY | 0.6823001097 | $27.00 |
| 08-09 08:48 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 22:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 21:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $900.00 |
| 08-01 16:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.64 | $84.00 |
| 07-31 16:19 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6299999983 | $51.00 |
| 07-31 16:19 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.966 | $51.27 |
| 07-31 16:17 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6299999969 | $46.50 |
| 07-31 16:17 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.402 | $46.50 |
| 07-31 16:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6299999842 | $11.17 |
| 07-31 16:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $10.22 |
| 07-30 07:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5899999967 | $47.00 |
| 07-30 06:59 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $47.59 |
| 07-29 06:56 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6829400035 | $79.00 |
| 07-28 19:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $64.04 |