France217
0xd3b8435af0f183c381381f98417cba3a578decf8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $240.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $156.00 | −$84.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $45.00 | −$15.00 |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.039 | $36.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.003 | $2.50 | −$21.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.002 | $0.90 | −$30.30 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$427.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-529.75at 0.350Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 18:15 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | BUY | 0.0379768975 | $36.00 |
| 08-08 17:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.052 | $31.20 |
| 08-08 17:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.30 |
| 08-08 17:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $240.00 |
| 08-08 17:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.006 | $60.00 |
| 06-17 20:55 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.2999999996 | $427.79 |
| 06-16 20:33 | Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.16 | $446.11 |
| 06-16 20:04 | Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499999998 | $975.86 |