PolyBot

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Traders

22BB

0xd3b50fd651c0f39e302627b962441c61a9d7f7f0

Realised P&L
$-12.5k
Volume
$552.5k
Markets traded
324
Open portfolio
$447.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded324
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 6? · No0.9941.000$230.00+$1.31
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 7? · No0.9800.990$217.40+$2.20
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 19, 9AM ET? · No0.9880.000$0.00$119.96
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match? · No0.9430.000$0.00$136.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 16:18Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 6?BUY0.994$185.00
08-05 16:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 6?BUY0.993$43.69
08-05 13:14Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 7?BUY0.98$215.21
08-04 02:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.9921928769$121.00
08-04 02:05Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.9881680532$118.78
08-03 04:33Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.9896673365$238.00
08-03 04:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.99$39.60
08-03 04:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?BUY0.99$160.38
08-01 07:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?BUY0.98$23.52
08-01 03:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?BUY0.99$108.90
08-01 03:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 2?BUY0.99$149.54
07-31 13:30Will Trump’s remarks not air?BUY0.99$12.55
07-31 13:27Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.93$93.00
07-31 13:26Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 31?SELL0.999$55.83
07-31 13:25Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 31?SELL0.999$154.95