OjamaRed
0xd3a7a0525f475cc93182e513a469c18fded32acc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.69
- Volume
- $977.45
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $30.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.099 | $11.06 | −$3.94 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.049 | $6.39 | −$6.60 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.072 | $5.99 | −$2.01 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.605 | $2.06 | +$0.05 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.425 | $1.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.799 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.101 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.029 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.85at 0.151Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.02at 0.665Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$2.77at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$2.55at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$2.44at 0.450Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 13:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.089527187 | $2.99 |
| 07-02 12:55 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1161520707 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.95 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.4775 | $0.99 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.98 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.96 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.95 |
| 07-02 12:52 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.175 | $0.88 |
| 07-01 21:28 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.08 |
| 07-01 18:36 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 18:36 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 18:36 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 18:36 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 18:36 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |