JayRP
0xd397ecec688e218c548a73978a9f63abf381dd01
- Realised P&L
- $9.80
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $7.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.675 | $7.94 | −$2.06 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.86at 0.280Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$20.79at 0.590Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$-16.00at 0.026Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$-29.80at 0.455Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:23 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 12-07 08:45 | Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | SELL | 0.75 | $267.86 |
| 06-10 17:10 | Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 17:10 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.1162064407 | $100.00 |
| 03-03 06:12 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.109999997 | $30.00 |
| 03-03 06:10 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 06:08 | Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.79 |
| 02-08 14:34 | Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? | BUY | 0.4546042411 | $29.80 |
| 02-08 14:32 | Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | BUY | 0.0260846179 | $16.00 |
| 02-08 14:31 | Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $30.00 |
| 01-08 17:00 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |