0xd37E1cd81219eEc3CE86375C2c40B538C8C05199-1775570328078
0xd37e1cd81219eec3ce86375c2c40b538c8c05199
- Realised P&L
- $11.46
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $10.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.87at 0.027Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
- +$7.00at 0.400Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$4.80at 0.025Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$4.06at 0.190Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$3.30at 0.260US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 18:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 05-03 08:21 | Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.0148798571 | $1.04 |
| 05-02 14:08 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.16 |
| 04-22 06:01 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 04-21 15:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.55 |
| 04-20 08:37 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.127 | $0.80 |
| 04-19 19:33 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 04-19 18:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.48 |
| 04-19 18:08 | Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 17:36 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 04-19 17:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |