0xd35aadcf2780f38d89d1927271a97f0344917ea4
- Realised P&L
- $-14.72
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $16.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.040Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$1.44at 0.410Solana Up or Down - August 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$1.40at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$1.27at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$1.17at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.83 |
| 08-07 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1197842874 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1498051333 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2388772768 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3862915051 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |