Kaishennn
0xd321ab736a40e472e47da8df5cd5ebba09d9ed81
- Realised P&L
- $-66.28
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $0.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down | 0.312 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Down | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down | 0.914 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.10at 0.058Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?
- +$13.36at 0.050Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
- +$10.97at 0.310Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?
- +$9.91at 0.046Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
- +$9.10at 0.200Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 13:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $1.22 |
| 08-08 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $1.16 |
| 08-08 12:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 11:25 | Solana Up or Down - August 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:49 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9142857143 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 13:44 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $7.00 |
| 08-05 13:38 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999939 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 13:24 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9322313937 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 12:49 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 12:45 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 12:38 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8613861233 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 12:23 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 12:08 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.21 |
| 08-05 12:08 | Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.929999993 | $4.00 |