xiaohuozi
0xd311b521443be9d5d441b27e5a16102678bc8145
- Realised P&L
- $142.13
- Volume
- $266.8k
- Markets traded
- 480
- Open portfolio
- $797.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded480
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $596.98 | +$0.30 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $152.01 | +$0.08 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $48.08 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.40at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?
- +$3.20at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on April 21?
- +$3.19at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on April 27?
- +$2.82at 0.996Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2?
- +$2.34at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.13 |
| 08-05 13:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $151.94 |
| 08-05 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $596.68 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-03 14:38 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 6? | BUY | 0.99730944 | $144.42 |
| 08-03 14:38 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $105.79 |
| 08-03 14:37 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-03 14:36 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-03 14:36 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-03 14:32 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9976568997 | $290.78 |
| 08-03 14:32 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-01 19:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $937.56 |
| 08-01 08:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $936.91 |
| 07-30 12:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $714.93 |
| 07-30 11:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $935.29 |