PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

runvx

0xd2b8552effa1969a306aba66feb08982c46735d5

Realised P&L
$821.53
Volume
$23.5k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$95.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics0.4500.455$67.31+$0.74
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$14.88+$1.97
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7400.905$13.48+$2.46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No0.4400.000$0.00$92.40
Will France win on 2026-06-30? · No0.2300.000$0.00$82.63
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G0.8700.000$0.00$199.52
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? · No0.4300.000$0.00$100.39
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes · Ohio State Buckeyes0.5800.000$0.00$11.57
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$27.89
Cavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliers0.3200.000$0.00$89.60
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$116.76
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$2.15
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00$87.51
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? · No0.0190.000$0.00$4.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 05:48Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.45$66.57
06-29 03:15Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.23$82.63
06-18 06:24Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.44$92.40
06-10 03:24Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.36$102.92
06-06 06:05Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.46$81.74
05-21 06:14Cavaliers vs. KnicksBUY0.32$89.60
05-12 05:40Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?BUY0.55$134.20
05-07 07:29Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?BUY0.69$110.81
04-30 08:51Stars vs. WildBUY0.54$125.07
04-25 05:02Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.43$98.64
04-16 02:45Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?BUY0.5$114.98
04-11 04:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?BUY0.57$131.66
04-06 05:38Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?BUY0.37$21.00
03-19 08:45TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State BuckeyesBUY0.58$11.52
03-19 08:45Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.82$12.91