aypi.him
0xd27e8f570a32858faddd881fbb1788df914b40ce
- Realised P&L
- $-6.26
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $18.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.550 | $6.95 | +$1.77 |
| Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.520 | 0.540 | $5.18 | +$0.19 |
| Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.500 | 0.480 | $3.94 | −$0.16 |
| Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.320 | $1.02 | −$0.45 |
| Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.540 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.91 |
| Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.32at 0.116Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$9.80at 0.400Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.96at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$1.52at 0.550Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.36at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:01 | Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 09:00 | Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $4.99 |
| 08-05 08:59 | Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599998561 | $1.47 |
| 08-05 08:59 | Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4099999644 | $5.18 |
| 08-05 08:58 | Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.10 |
| 08-04 07:50 | Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3099999734 | $7.91 |
| 08-04 07:49 | Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 07:48 | Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1299999846 | $6.82 |
| 08-03 08:33 | Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5499998965 | $1.86 |
| 08-02 15:30 | Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.43 |
| 08-02 15:29 | Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7599999115 | $1.03 |
| 08-02 14:54 | Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.51 |
| 08-02 14:54 | Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.86 |
| 08-02 14:54 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.79 |
| 08-02 07:36 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5231963806 | $7.69 |