Mestola
0xd25ee3e5b834956c644002b328cff064a9b8346f
- Realised P&L
- $9.67
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $1.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6?
- +$18.98at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 6?
- +$18.98at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?
- +$18.94at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?
- +$9.50at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 08-06 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-05 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02007 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-03 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.86 |
| 08-01 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 06-14 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 06-14 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-11 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 11? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-09 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.47 |
| 06-08 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.80 |
| 06-07 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.46 |
| 06-06 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.31 |
| 06-06 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 6? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 06-03 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 4? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.25 |