0xd21f51db7b352797d11d54b3ab0743e581a48570
- Realised P&L
- $686.05
- Volume
- $51.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,007
- Open portfolio
- $7.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,007
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.915 | $2.23 | +$0.40 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? · No | 0.720 | 0.925 | $1.61 | +$0.36 |
| Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-08? · No | 0.860 | 0.855 | $1.53 | −$0.01 |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-08? · No | 0.620 | 0.605 | $1.44 | −$0.04 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 1 Manchester United? · No | 0.950 | 0.506 | $0.60 | −$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.02at 0.066Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$49.99at 0.420Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 0.5
- +$49.32at 0.499Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
- +$47.10at 0.366Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$38.05at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 15:34 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | SELL | 0.99 | $2.39 |
| 08-08 15:34 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | SELL | 0.99 | $2.51 |
| 08-08 15:34 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | SELL | 0.99 | $2.55 |
| 08-08 15:34 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | SELL | 0.99 | $4.78 |
| 08-08 15:29 | Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.6199998827 | $1.48 |
| 08-08 15:22 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | BUY | 0.9099997831 | $2.35 |
| 08-08 15:22 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | BUY | 0.9099997063 | $2.20 |
| 08-08 15:22 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | BUY | 0.9099999843 | $2.32 |
| 08-08 15:22 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros | BUY | 0.9099999317 | $4.40 |
| 08-08 13:34 | Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.78 |
| 08-08 13:30 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler | SELL | 0.99 | $2.48 |
| 08-08 13:30 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler | SELL | 0.99 | $2.44 |
| 08-08 13:30 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler | SELL | 0.99 | $2.48 |
| 08-08 13:30 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler | SELL | 0.99 | $2.46 |
| 08-08 13:29 | Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.83 |