0xd1c0ec551ce3e165918e8d016c5ce4fdedc602c6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.05
- Volume
- $90.56
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.145 | $0.48 | −$2.11 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.060 | $0.35 | −$2.24 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.015 | $0.07 | −$2.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.50at 0.320S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.73at 0.410Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$0.54at 0.550US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$0.29at 0.800Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$0.23at 0.230US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 14:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.30 |
| 08-06 14:23 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.11 |
| 08-06 14:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.54 |
| 08-06 14:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.2530960854 | $0.71 |
| 08-06 14:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.87 |
| 08-06 07:50 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.2299999432 | $2.59 |
| 08-05 11:46 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4099999177 | $2.59 |
| 08-05 03:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.59 |
| 08-04 19:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999333 | $2.59 |
| 08-04 11:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.59 |
| 08-04 03:41 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999524 | $2.59 |
| 08-03 19:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.59 |
| 08-03 11:25 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.779999994 | $2.59 |
| 08-03 03:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999529 | $2.59 |
| 08-03 02:58 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5499997983 | $2.59 |