PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mt2026

0xd15972601c7ad00f7099e23c9320cfbf82086ad4

Realised P&L
$7.25
Volume
$229.09
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$31.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.4740.979$10.31+$5.31
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? · Yes0.1970.280$7.11+$2.11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4400.415$4.72$0.28
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3600.335$4.65$0.35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.525$4.30$0.70
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0890.001$0.01$2.49
Starmer out by August 31, 2026? · No0.4830.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 00:53Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?BUY0.1968271464$5.00
06-11 00:43Starmer out by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4827205324$5.00
06-10 22:40Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.359999977$5.00
06-02 01:35Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
04-29 17:58Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.996$7.54
04-29 17:57Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.92$1.95
04-25 00:44Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.4899999784$2.50
04-22 01:21Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.4599999522$2.50
04-12 19:25Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
04-10 19:28Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.367$10.35
03-20 22:12Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.725$2.26
03-20 22:00Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.32$1.00
03-12 20:10Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
03-12 01:05Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
03-12 00:57Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0886454028$5.00