Shilu45
0xd10c1f3d1fddb5dcc90d074a2b72d6f08727dd67
- Realised P&L
- $48.88
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $43.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.50at 0.090Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?
- +$40.41at 0.170Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$35.59at 0.406Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$33.52at 0.520Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals
- +$31.20at 0.220Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.049 | $4.41 |
| 07-06 17:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.26 |
| 07-05 12:30 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 12:30 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? | BUY | 0.03925 | $1.57 |
| 07-01 19:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 06-29 09:44 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 06-28 17:43 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 06-27 16:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 27? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.25 |
| 06-27 16:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 27? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-27 15:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27? | SELL | 0.068 | $4.42 |
| 06-27 07:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.0444664888 | $1.33 |
| 06-27 07:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.15 |
| 06-27 07:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.047 | $0.23 |
| 06-24 15:46 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | SELL | 0.43 | $11.61 |
| 06-23 19:15 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.53 |