tianxiewa666
0xd04de4ff45a0fe5b2718c17b584778c0bd30bfc2
- Realised P&L
- $-44.9k
- Volume
- $3.60M
- Markets traded
- 2,862
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,862
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.995 | $2.0k | +$1.0k |
| Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 190.5 · Over | 0.488 | 0.505 | $2.0k | +$69.05 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Anyones Legend | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$293.87 |
| Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.38 |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$886.65 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) · Jazz | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$886.20 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) · Spurs | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$900.06 |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) · Mavericks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$362.04 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.96 |
| Spread: Nets (-3.5) · Wizards | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5) · Dallas Wings | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.65 |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana · LNG Esports | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.30 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 · Top Esports | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.4kat 0.393England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$13.0kat 0.610Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$6.1kat 0.480Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$4.9kat 0.668England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$2.7kat 0.503Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 246.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:49 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 08-08 15:21 | Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 190.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $854.25 |
| 08-08 15:20 | Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 190.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 08-08 15:19 | Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 190.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $88.03 |
| 08-08 01:32 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 160.5 | SELL | 0.51 | $72.93 |
| 08-08 01:29 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.47 | $27.02 |
| 08-07 23:26 | Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $1.0k |
| 08-07 23:15 | Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $1000.00 |
| 08-07 00:37 | Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $889.41 |
| 08-06 00:56 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $154.08 |
| 08-06 00:55 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 08-06 00:51 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $1000.00 |
| 08-05 22:50 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $1000.00 |
| 08-05 01:59 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $331.50 |
| 08-05 01:55 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $1000.00 |