PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

alphys

0xd024f07ecd962630ee3e7f8513955adf708d60b0

Realised P&L
$-2.72
Volume
$562.92
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$73.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes0.2800.355$12.68+$2.68
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.745$9.80$0.20
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.3430.515$7.51+$2.51
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1490.120$7.25$1.75
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1070.093$6.98$1.02
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1370.092$6.06$2.94
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.3600.405$5.62+$0.62
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2700.290$5.37+$0.37
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2000.193$4.83$0.17
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2400.220$4.58$0.42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0420.026$0.63$0.37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0390.022$0.56$0.44
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes0.0180.009$0.53$0.47
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? · Yes0.0130.004$0.31$0.69
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? · Yes0.0300.008$0.27$0.73

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 21:04Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1066002385$8.00
07-25 21:02Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1373893682$9.00
07-25 21:02Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1489999873$9.00
07-25 20:47Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?BUY0.014$0.07
07-25 20:44Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
07-25 20:44Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-25 20:43Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
07-25 20:43Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
07-25 20:43Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.0419999612$1.00
07-25 20:38Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.3426601798$5.00
07-25 20:37Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.359999977$5.00
07-25 20:35Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-25 20:35Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-25 20:34Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.2$5.00
07-25 20:20NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999878$10.00