tio.patinhas
0xcfef91a13cafcd2bfcd9fd5633b47fdb51b40f2b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $844.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.947 | 0.945 | $541.78 | −$1.21 |
| Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-05? · No | 0.940 | 0.995 | $264.49 | +$14.49 |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. Mirassol FC: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.770 | 0.995 | $32.31 | +$7.31 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · France | 0.872 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.81at 0.870Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)
- +$74.71at 0.870Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?
- +$38.89at 0.900Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?
- +$26.24at 0.960Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$22.22at 0.900Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:59 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.95 | $500.00 |
| 08-05 22:47 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.9146808511 | $42.99 |
| 08-05 21:02 | Grêmio FBPA vs. Mirassol FC: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 20:59 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $250.00 |
| 08-05 18:33 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $500.00 |
| 08-05 14:37 | Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 14:36 | Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.9 | $350.00 |
| 08-05 00:46 | Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 21:29 | Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5) | BUY | 0.869858213 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 21:18 | EC Juventude vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 21:16 | Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8286741212 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:04 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8300339615 | $666.29 |
| 07-18 21:03 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.999 | $672.24 |
| 07-18 21:00 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.92 | $644.55 |
| 07-18 19:53 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.9599999994 | $646.00 |