PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcf1adb9e5d9718d31f065c755389b810fc8c617e

Realised P&L
$-233.00
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$56.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.1580.131$38.84$8.21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3750.205$17.33$14.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 11:34Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.2879999925$23.64
07-24 11:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.28$23.66
07-24 11:32Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.100131991$3.06
07-24 11:31Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$4.10
06-06 12:49Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY0.0350538903$19.42
06-06 12:48Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.11$20.35
05-08 09:54Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.0089999992$11.81
05-02 14:29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2999999949$35.44
05-02 14:27Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.998$47.73
04-16 19:15US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.7699999868$31.49
04-16 19:12Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?SELL0.969$31.28
04-12 19:18Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.01$0.36
04-11 16:20Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.9499999323$3.51
04-11 16:19Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.2899999848$10.50
04-11 16:18Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?BUY0.58$41.99