PolyBot

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0xceF868d0955C4bBeD42E2525f7FEE7A39D21a4Ed-1770532746642

0xcef868d0955c4bbed42e2525f7fee7a39d21a4ed

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$154.1k
Markets traded
366
Open portfolio
$432.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded366
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 10? · No0.7940.770$177.24$5.56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 9? · No0.5280.365$122.59$54.79
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 10? · Yes0.4500.515$31.23+$3.95
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 11? · No0.8500.870$26.48+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 10? · Yes0.2830.215$24.25$7.70
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 9? · Yes0.3060.195$22.56$12.89
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 9? · No0.7700.805$17.49+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 9? · Yes0.1400.145$10.66+$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 11:15Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 8?BUY0.5649420001$82.31
08-08 10:04Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 8?BUY0.001$1.03
06-07 20:40Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.57$602.50
06-06 19:45Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.91$910.00
06-06 09:05Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.49$32.86
06-06 07:04FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5BUY0.65$15.22
06-06 06:57FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5BUY0.75$15.50
06-04 18:24Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.51$1.7k
06-02 14:41Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.528$154.18
06-01 11:54Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?SELL0.052$0.68
06-01 11:54Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?SELL0.044$0.57
06-01 11:35Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?SELL0.037$0.48
06-01 11:32Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?SELL0.029$0.38
05-31 21:05Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.549999991$24.48
05-31 21:05Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.59$5.90