newbirdtrade
0xcece5958ece979f3d8b52ba600233f1bdc9dffee
- Realised P&L
- $-28.7k
- Volume
- $377.4k
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $960.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.593Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
- +$1.0kat 0.480Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
- +$990.00at 0.670Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
- +$866.32at 0.860Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$790.59at 0.834Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:58 | Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $71.41 |
| 08-08 09:19 | Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14 | BUY | 0.32 | $24.22 |
| 08-07 08:47 | Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $70.38 |
| 08-07 08:43 | Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3 | BUY | 0.62 | $46.05 |
| 08-07 08:43 | Map Handicap: IS (-1.5) vs 6666 (+1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $75.60 |
| 08-05 11:15 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs | BUY | 0.66 | $549.21 |
| 08-05 07:52 | Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.61 | $85.85 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $61.56 |
| 08-03 11:20 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.36 | $17.85 |
| 08-03 11:07 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $28.58 |
| 08-03 10:46 | Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.62 | $24.01 |
| 08-03 08:37 | Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.35 | $30.80 |
| 08-02 14:04 | Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $24.50 |
| 08-02 13:57 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.27 | $7.73 |
| 08-02 13:30 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.46 | $27.42 |