ocdtor
0xce701545b3ff2a29617927dd0993872f33cbc69b
- Realised P&L
- $-45.34
- Volume
- $55.4k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.25at 0.100Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$4.50at 0.460Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
- +$3.10at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7?
- +$3.08at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7?
- +$3.04at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.04 |
| 08-08 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.43 |
| 08-08 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.8 | $3.55 |
| 08-08 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.70 |
| 08-08 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.68 |
| 08-07 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.96 |
| 08-07 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |