plders
0xcd33a22dca74fce68a72d67a6b911ee723bb1468
- Realised P&L
- $280.58
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $15.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $8.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.998 | $7.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.61at 0.510Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$127.26at 0.250Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
- +$3.30at 0.760US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$2.24at 0.770LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
- +$1.31at 0.886Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.9989998761 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 02:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.00 |
| 07-18 08:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $107.00 |
| 07-18 08:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.00 |
| 07-18 08:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9979999991 | $113.00 |
| 07-06 06:48 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $167.17 |
| 06-23 06:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 06-23 06:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 06:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 06-23 06:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.00 |
| 06-23 06:52 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.00 |
| 06-23 06:52 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.00 |
| 06-23 06:52 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.00 |
| 06-23 06:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.997999968 | $25.00 |