0xcd0cf60a5a27268052864b4dd4b6f6341fc311b6
- Realised P&L
- $-5.37
- Volume
- $103.49
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $11.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.470 | 0.205 | $2.18 | −$2.82 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.165 | $1.96 | −$3.04 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.365 | $1.24 | −$0.19 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.150 | $0.97 | −$0.71 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.85at 0.730Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$1.80at 0.410Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.420Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
- +$0.61at 0.700Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.45at 0.780Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:59 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:47 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 04:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 20:01 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 08-01 03:51 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 19:51 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.4199999413 | $1.43 |
| 07-31 11:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998721 | $1.25 |
| 07-30 05:16 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 19:32 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.679999931 | $2.76 |
| 07-29 09:26 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 13:39 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-28 04:44 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.69 |
| 07-27 19:34 | Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.47 |
| 07-27 04:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7799999013 | $1.58 |