PolyBot

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Traders

0xcd0cf60a5a27268052864b4dd4b6f6341fc311b6

Realised P&L
$-5.37
Volume
$103.49
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$11.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? · Yes0.2400.235$4.90$0.10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4700.205$2.18$2.82
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes0.4200.165$1.96$3.04
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · Yes0.4200.365$1.24$0.19
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2600.150$0.97$0.71
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2300.001$0.00$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:59Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
08-02 13:47Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
08-02 04:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
08-01 20:01Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
08-01 12:01Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.23$1.38
08-01 03:51New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 19:51Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.4199999413$1.43
07-31 11:49Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4099998721$1.25
07-30 05:16Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$5.00
07-29 19:32Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.679999931$2.76
07-29 09:26Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-28 13:39Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-28 04:44Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.26$1.69
07-27 19:34Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.49$1.47
07-27 04:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7799999013$1.58
Trader 0xcd0c…11b6 · PolyBot