andrewgarner01
0xcc4c7f01384cacb7a77b7375133f76d3500bdf86
- Realised P&L
- $94.14
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $218.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.033 | $54.00 | +$4.00 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.350 | $50.61 | +$0.61 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $44.64 | −$5.36 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.335 | $44.27 | +$14.27 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.192 | $24.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.36at 0.206Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$14.52at 0.775Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-30.00at 0.049Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:54 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3457985435 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 10:59 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.2269999947 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 09:31 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0305577996 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 16:55 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1939999943 | $25.00 |
| 07-29 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.205999994 | $25.00 |
| 07-28 19:40 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.0491300702 | $30.00 |
| 07-28 19:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7749999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 19:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |