0xcb838b73cf0806f67feb81ae40a9656ea42196a7
- Realised P&L
- $-59.45
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $237.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? · No | 0.608 | 0.760 | $118.05 | +$23.63 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.335 | $75.05 | +$4.49 |
| Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election? · No | 0.072 | 0.042 | $44.55 | −$31.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.77at 0.252U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$146.45at 0.441Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?
- +$75.61at 0.500Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$72.89at 0.549Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$51.17at 0.654Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:27 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3149560608 | $70.56 |
| 08-04 20:06 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? | BUY | 0.6078544961 | $94.42 |
| 08-04 02:59 | Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election? | BUY | 0.0585344755 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 00:24 | Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election? | BUY | 0.077886971 | $56.00 |
| 08-03 09:39 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.994 | $176.49 |
| 08-03 04:11 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6539999991 | $116.12 |
| 08-03 04:11 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.347693929 | $117.29 |
| 08-03 04:11 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4083700427 | $137.76 |
| 08-03 04:10 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.3526973384 | $139.14 |
| 08-03 04:09 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.3999766792 | $157.79 |
| 08-03 02:33 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.1013040506 | $71.73 |
| 08-03 02:33 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.358 | $90.89 |
| 08-03 02:17 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.39922699 | $101.36 |
| 08-03 02:17 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.6021607552 | $102.37 |
| 08-03 02:15 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6562855868 | $111.58 |