PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Arlenefg

0xcb20f8b133768201d69b4538d1ba0e175153025a

Realised P&L
$42.04
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$29.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.3400.410$29.11+$4.97
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23? · No0.5700.000$0.00$19.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 11:20Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.06
08-05 11:20Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$57.88
08-05 11:19Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.34$24.14
07-14 03:23Will France win the World Cup?BUY0.62$23.56
07-02 11:32Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.39$12.48
06-15 08:57Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?SELL0.998$27.96
06-15 08:57Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.61$23.55
06-15 08:56Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?BUY0.999$28.00
06-05 08:46Will Salvatore Alfano win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?BUY0.61$22.81
05-21 03:13Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?BUY0.57$19.66
05-06 06:15Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$37.92
05-06 06:15Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.001$0.04
04-15 01:46Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?BUY0.999$17.00
03-25 08:28Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.996$47.95
03-25 08:27Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.997$48.00