0xcb0b2ecb08322ea4ab8ece0c05a29a8d7dc662cd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $105.5k
- Markets traded
- 836
- Open portfolio
- $470.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded836
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.430 | 0.995 | $134.26 | +$76.21 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.370 | 0.355 | $111.08 | −$4.69 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.508 | 0.500 | $95.66 | −$1.46 |
| Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) · Cincinnati Reds | 0.420 | 0.425 | $58.71 | +$0.69 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.480 | 0.166 | $40.25 | −$76.14 |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Atlanta Braves | 0.390 | 0.220 | $22.05 | −$17.03 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.420 | 0.055 | $7.60 | −$50.42 |
| Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) · Seattle Mariners | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) · Miami Marlins | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.53 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) · Minnesota Twins | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$391.11at 0.450Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$372.09at 0.430Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$346.67at 0.480Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$295.39at 0.520Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
- +$240.00at 0.400Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:29 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5076291907 | $97.12 |
| 08-05 18:10 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.369999999 | $115.77 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999962 | $58.02 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.4199999962 | $58.02 |
| 08-05 18:05 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $58.05 |
| 08-05 18:03 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4799999992 | $116.39 |
| 08-04 20:06 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.369999997 | $57.88 |
| 08-04 20:03 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999989 | $58.16 |
| 08-04 20:02 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $57.97 |
| 08-02 20:25 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | SELL | 0.8306555115 | $240.77 |
| 08-02 20:23 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | SELL | 0.74 | $178.04 |
| 08-02 08:43 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $77.44 |
| 08-02 08:41 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.4899999982 | $97.04 |
| 08-02 08:40 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.32 | $76.99 |
| 08-02 08:38 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.4899999979 | $58.22 |