0xCadC4b3b795CCb7029E2c6966B1e336D30bB4285-1769174573782
0xcadc4b3b795ccb7029e2c6966b1e336d30bb4285
- Realised P&L
- $-284.74
- Volume
- $165.9k
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $34.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.41at 0.045Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$155.07at 0.380Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
- +$146.52at 0.033Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?
- +$100.59at 0.166Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
- +$77.92at 0.300Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 05:40 | Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.89 |
| 08-03 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-01 01:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.01113197 | $11.13 |
| 07-31 10:25 | Will Trump say "Putin" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 10:23 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 10:21 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 07-31 07:44 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8093002611 | $18.60 |
| 07-30 17:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.394 | $17.73 |
| 07-27 18:03 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.0591570588 | $15.09 |
| 07-27 16:46 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $7.91 |
| 07-27 16:44 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 08:05 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.78 |
| 07-25 22:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.01475428 | $7.38 |
| 07-24 11:27 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 15:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.1799195 | $71.97 |