0xC96f6570AC3A08AC5b5d40D875D29786137F8DE2-1761648363642
0xc96f6570ac3a08ac5b5d40d875d29786137f8de2
- Realised P&L
- $-609.09
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $13.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $8.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.571 | 0.540 | $5.40 | −$0.30 |
| Hornets vs. Nets · Nets | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.01 |
| Grizzlies vs. Hornets · Grizzlies | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks · Hawks | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.61 |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans · Raptors | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.88 |
| Kings vs. Hawks · Kings | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.40 |
| Jazz vs. Bucks · Jazz | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.87 |
| Kings vs. Nets · Kings | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.60 |
| Raptors vs. Suns · Raptors | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.80 |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves · Suns | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Hawks vs. Rockets · Hawks | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| 76ers vs. Heat · 76ers | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.11 |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans · Mavericks | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.00at 0.400Pistons vs. Magic
- +$85.00at 0.660Nuggets vs. Suns
- +$84.00at 0.650Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$81.89at 0.569Celtics vs. Spurs
- +$74.80at 0.660Spurs vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 06:08 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.571 | $5.71 |
| 07-30 05:51 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 06-30 09:01 | U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 04-18 08:46 | Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.33 | $76.02 |
| 04-06 10:03 | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4 | $146.53 |
| 03-31 08:52 | Hornets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.09 | $13.61 |
| 03-30 12:02 | 76ers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.57 | $146.02 |
| 03-29 13:09 | Kings vs. Nets | BUY | 0.51 | $132.60 |
| 03-28 08:35 | Kings vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.11 | $26.40 |
| 03-24 08:50 | Nuggets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.66 | $165.00 |
| 03-23 09:07 | Spurs vs. Heat | BUY | 0.66 | $20.52 |
| 03-22 13:51 | Raptors vs. Suns | BUY | 0.58 | $121.80 |
| 03-21 09:09 | Grizzlies vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.1 | $22.00 |
| 03-20 08:50 | Hawks vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.4 | $92.00 |
| 03-19 08:38 | Cavaliers vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.87 | $191.40 |