FromTheFutureee
0xc92f96173c5df943eac92f51e3f51fe7e5c2f930
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $530.4k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.345 | $5.1k | +$617.48 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.710 | 0.795 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? · No | 0.502 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.161Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.6kat 0.149Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.920France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$974.82at 0.109Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$892.60at 0.900Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:46 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 22:45 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 15:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5925 | $100.73 |
| 07-19 10:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 23:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.4979997819 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 23:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 21:46 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.9199999761 | $1.54 |
| 07-18 21:43 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.9199999999 | $7.1k |
| 07-18 21:40 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.9199999999 | $6.3k |
| 07-18 21:37 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.09 | $410.48 |
| 07-18 20:17 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999997 | $520.00 |
| 07-18 19:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.4489998518 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 19:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.4489998518 | $1.00 |