MustaphaBukolaL
0xc91f8304be20a540e08bee7a49cbda951623724b
- Realised P&L
- $14.29
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $1.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.50at 0.648Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in February?
- +$5.22at 0.837Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?
- +$3.17at 0.016Will Harry Sisson apologize by Friday?
- +$2.69at 0.931Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$1.34at 0.955Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 05:18 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.85 |
| 06-20 01:26 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.14 |
| 06-19 23:33 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.45 |
| 06-18 03:24 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 06-18 01:45 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 06-17 17:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $22.10 |
| 05-26 15:22 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.80 |
| 05-26 13:26 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.89 |
| 05-26 05:37 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.134 | $6.30 |
| 05-26 00:06 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.45 |
| 05-25 00:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $41.61 |
| 05-24 14:29 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.97 |
| 06-24 05:32 | Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-24 05:31 | Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 06-20 16:40 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $17.44 |