0xc913aBEC5141821891E40Ca93bFc325C6B034f43-1774516123201
0xc913abec5141821891e40ca93bfc325c6b034f43
- Realised P&L
- $-3.22
- Volume
- $314.72
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $16.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.95at 0.588Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$4.76at 0.295Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$1.52at 0.440Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$1.44at 0.410Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.37at 0.417Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 20:04 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.8899999916 | $10.65 |
| 07-07 20:03 | Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 06:09 | Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 06:09 | Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9559999904 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 06:08 | Will Johnny Somali's Sentence Be Extended? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 06:06 | Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E6 S9? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 06:05 | Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E6 S9? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.38 |
| 06-25 05:57 | Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E6 S9? | BUY | 0.0315270936 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 05:52 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 05:51 | D4vd released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 05:50 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 05:49 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 05:49 | Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 04-04 19:58 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.43 |
| 03-31 23:50 | Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.28 |