PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc913aBEC5141821891E40Ca93bFc325C6B034f43-1774516123201

0xc913abec5141821891e40ca93bfc325c6b034f43

Realised P&L
$-3.22
Volume
$314.72
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$16.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.8900.575$6.88$3.77
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.2300.505$2.20+$1.20
D4vd released from custody in 2026? · No0.9200.935$2.03+$0.03
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5300.795$1.50+$0.50
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · No0.4200.500$1.19+$0.19
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9500.955$1.01+$0.01
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.8700.785$0.90$0.10
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.4500.290$0.64$0.36
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.7400.360$0.49$0.51
Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E6 S9? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Johnny Somali's Sentence Be Extended? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$1.00
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.8500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 20:04Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?BUY0.8899999916$10.65
07-07 20:03Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?BUY0.74$1.00
06-25 06:09Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.849999915$1.00
06-25 06:09Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9559999904$2.00
06-25 06:08Will Johnny Somali's Sentence Be Extended?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
06-25 06:06Will anyone say "Possible" or "Impossible" during Rick and Morty E6 S9?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
06-25 06:05Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E6 S9?SELL0.012$0.38
06-25 05:57Will anyone say "Alien" during Rick and Morty E6 S9?BUY0.0315270936$1.00
06-25 05:52New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? BUY0.949999525$1.00
06-25 05:51D4vd released from custody in 2026?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
06-25 05:50Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
06-25 05:49Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
06-25 05:49Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
04-04 19:58US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.999$5.43
03-31 23:50Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?SELL0.1$0.28