captainzhang
0xc8f009bb292994924ea39face9168a67927c835c
- Realised P&L
- $-850.69
- Volume
- $226.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,763
- Open portfolio
- $212.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,763
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.80at 0.413Nuggets vs. Lakers
- +$167.17at 0.223Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$147.48at 0.404Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$109.20at 0.370US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$82.90at 0.170Timberwolves vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1393034712 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8299999977 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1643549646 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3494874185 | $15.00 |
| 08-08 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999938 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 15:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9892160439 | $400.00 |
| 08-07 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9702931839 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0638581139 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.078048205 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.0888780019 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1206868058 | $8.00 |
| 08-06 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.039748261 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1420965769 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.03 |