PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc868a5228e9a02896ac8d2dc0342d364b36e7bd7

Realised P&L
$384.08
Volume
$113.8k
Markets traded
363
Open portfolio
$680.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded363
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8010.880$194.74+$17.38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.043$129.03$614.18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · No0.8850.957$105.25+$7.87
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.5580.560$75.69+$0.21
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · Yes0.2650.215$62.73$14.63
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.885$48.19+$2.47
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · No0.8590.985$31.78+$4.04
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.5240.525$18.20+$0.02
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6900.780$14.49+$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 22? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$66.28
Will CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-04-12? · No0.8800.000$0.00$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 23? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$1.43
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$22.81
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$3.10
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00$161.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:04Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.559999994$18.72
08-01 10:03Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.5692636686$23.86
08-01 10:02Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.55$32.90
08-01 09:55Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5199999029$1.50
08-01 09:52Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5199999976$8.50
08-01 09:51Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5299999786$8.18
08-01 08:47Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.2692131646$75.86
08-01 07:55Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.15$1.50
07-20 13:10Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999853$3.52
07-20 11:55Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999427$1.50
07-20 08:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?SELL0.0448791209$5.11
07-20 08:35Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.6899999887$12.82
07-20 08:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?BUY0.0453626374$5.16
07-20 08:07US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.038$18.54
07-17 09:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?BUY0.4899999668$3.10