0xc868a5228e9a02896ac8d2dc0342d364b36e7bd7
- Realised P&L
- $384.08
- Volume
- $113.8k
- Markets traded
- 363
- Open portfolio
- $680.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded363
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.049Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$439.61at 0.530Devils vs. Blues
- +$398.74at 0.513Golden Knights vs. Penguins
- +$349.78at 0.330Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?
- +$322.34at 0.248Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:04 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.559999994 | $18.72 |
| 08-01 10:03 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.5692636686 | $23.86 |
| 08-01 10:02 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $32.90 |
| 08-01 09:55 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999029 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 09:52 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999976 | $8.50 |
| 08-01 09:51 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5299999786 | $8.18 |
| 08-01 08:47 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.2692131646 | $75.86 |
| 08-01 07:55 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 07-20 13:10 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999853 | $3.52 |
| 07-20 11:55 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999427 | $1.50 |
| 07-20 08:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.0448791209 | $5.11 |
| 07-20 08:35 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.6899999887 | $12.82 |
| 07-20 08:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0453626374 | $5.16 |
| 07-20 08:07 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $18.54 |
| 07-17 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.4899999668 | $3.10 |