rerewu
0xc83e84f84b91ed29e39c1293a41c6ecfcf91759b
- Realised P&L
- $7.11
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $29.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $9.96 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.12at 0.920Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$1.77at 0.982Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
- +$1.20at 0.760Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$0.30at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 6?
- +$0.24at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 01:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-06 01:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-06 01:10 | Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-06 01:08 | Ethereum above 1,990 on August 5, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-02 23:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.18 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-02 02:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 08-02 02:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-30 01:26 | Bitcoin above 62,600 on July 29, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 07-30 01:25 | Ethereum above 1,860 on July 29, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-27 23:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 07-27 23:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 07-27 23:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |